U.S. President Donald Trump disembarks Air Drive One at Palm Seashore Worldwide Airport in West Palm Seashore, Florida, U.S., Feb. 13, 2026.
Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters
The Trump administration has warned it could be “very clever” for Iran to make a deal, amid experiences the White Home is contemplating contemporary navy motion in opposition to Tehran as quickly as this weekend.
It comes shortly after Vice President JD Vance accused Iran of failing to handle core U.S. calls for throughout nuclear talks in Switzerland this week. Iran’s international minister beforehand reported progress within the talks, saying the 2 international locations had reached an understanding over the “guiding rules” for the negotiations.
Talking at a information briefing Wednesday, White Home press secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that there have been “many causes and arguments that when may make for a strike in opposition to Iran,” noting that the 2 international locations stay “very far aside” on some points.
U.S. President Donald Trump had a “very profitable” operation final June, Leavitt stated, when U.S. stealth bombers struck three Iranian nuclear amenities as a part of “Operation Midnight Hammer.”
“The president has at all times been very clear although with respect to Iran or any nation all over the world, diplomacy is at all times his first choice. And Iran could be very clever to make a cope with President Trump and this administration,” Leavitt stated.
The White Home has stated it nonetheless hopes to succeed in a diplomatic decision over Tehran’s nuclear program, though U.S. media has reported that the navy may very well be ready to strike Iran as early because the weekend.
‘Extraordinarily harmful’ state of affairs
Each the U.S. and Iran have elevated navy exercise within the oil-producing Center East area in current weeks.
The U.S., for its half, has constructed up a major presence of air and naval belongings, whereas Iran has performed navy drills within the strategically very important Strait of Hormuz and introduced joint naval drills with Russia within the Sea of Oman.
Laura James, Center East senior analyst at Oxford Analytica, described the present state of affairs as “extraordinarily harmful,” with the U.S. and Iran “definitely nearer” to an outright battle than final week.

“The factor that’s now a specific concern over the previous 24 hours is the very speedy tempo at which america is reinforcing its air energy within the area. That, in fact, can nonetheless be signaling and strain for a specific diplomatic end result,” James informed CNBC’s “Entry Center East” on Thursday.
“However as increasingly more planes is available in and increasingly more tools is available in, that signaling will get increasingly more costly. And subsequently, the payoff you need for it in diplomatic phrases must be bigger — and there’s merely no signal Tehran can provide absolutely the minimal that Washington is more likely to demand,” she added.
Oil costs
Power market contributors have been intently watching the end result of the U.S.-Iran talks in Geneva, notably because it pertains to the Strait of Hormuz, a significant worldwide waterway that Iran partially closed on Tuesday citing “safety precautions.”
Situated within the gulf between Oman and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is acknowledged as one of many world’s most necessary oil choke factors.
Iranian navy personnel participate in an train titled ‘Good Management of the Strait of Hormuz’, launched by the Naval Forces of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, is being carried out within the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz on February 16, 2026.
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Pictures
About 13 million barrels per day of crude oil transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, accounting for roughly 31% of worldwide seaborne crude flows, knowledge supplied by market intelligence agency Kpler confirmed.
Oil costs have been greater on Thursday, extending good points after settling up greater than 4% within the earlier session.
Worldwide benchmark Brent crude futures with April supply rose 1.5% to $71.41 per barrel, whereas U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with March supply stood 1.7% greater at $66.27.
— CNBC’s Lee Ying Shan contributed to this report.
