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Reading: U.S. Shutdown Odds Leap to 79% Amid CLARITY Act Evaluation
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News

U.S. Shutdown Odds Leap to 79% Amid CLARITY Act Evaluation

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Last updated: January 25, 2026 12:40 pm
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Published: January 25, 2026
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U.S. Shutdown Odds Leap to 79% Amid CLARITY Act Evaluation


Contents
  • Govt. Shutdown Odds Rise as CLARITY Act Stays Pending
  • DHS Criticism, Legislative Delays, and Business Response

The CLARITY Act stays into account in Congress as prediction markets sharply elevated expectations of one other U.S. authorities shutdown. The event adopted feedback from President Donald Trump and comes whereas the CLARITY Act continues its legislative course of.

Govt. Shutdown Odds Rise as CLARITY Act Stays Pending

Polymarket merchants point out that it’s 78% sure that the U.S. authorities will shut down once more earlier than the tip of January. The probabilities of this occasion have, nevertheless, jumped by 69% prior to now 24 hours. The leap in chance is available in response to stagnant funds talks, which may have an effect on legislative calendars associated to the CLARITY Act.

CLARITY Act
Supply: Polymarket

President Donald Trump mentioned the U.S. may “most likely” find yourself in one other Democrat shutdown throughout a Fox Enterprise interview. Nonetheless, in an X put up, Senate Majority Chief Chuck Schumer additionally issued a touch upon the appropriations invoice being mentioned.

Based on him, Senate Democrats wouldn’t “present the votes to proceed” if the invoice contains funding for the Division of Homeland Safety. That is in reference to the phrases being set for advancing the invoice.

DHS Criticism, Legislative Delays, and Business Response

The senator additionally criticized the provisions regarding the Division of Homeland Safety. Schumer mentioned that the invoice is “woefully insufficient” to curb abuses by the Immigration and Customs Enforcement division. Schumer declared that he is not going to vote for the invoice whether it is put to a vote in its current kind.

Studies out of Minneapolis surfaced Saturday morning. U.S. federal brokers fatally shot a 37-year-old man in an incident. Schumer cited the case in his reference to the DHS.

Nonetheless, in current months, the progress of the CLARITY Act has confronted delays. Earlier delays within the CLARITY Act’s progress have been largely attributed to the U.S. authorities shutdown in October and November. That shutdown lasted 43 days, making it the longest on file.

As CoinGape reported, on Jan. 15, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong withdrew assist for the present model of the invoice. He defined that “We’d quite haven’t any invoice than a nasty invoice. Hopefully we will all get to a greater draft.”

Galaxy Digital’s head of analysis, Alex Thorn, famous in a report that there’s uncertainty with regards to stablecoin yields. Banking foyer teams within the U.S. argue yield-bearing stablecoins can hurt banking competitiveness.

Thorn mentioned that at this level, there are not any substantial indications that lawmakers have reached a compromise. “The extra 4-6 weeks till a second try at markup ought to give the events extra time to work on that.”

Market actions remained cautious. The worth of Bitcoin was affected by the unfolding political occasions. As CoinGape reported earlier, Trump issued a warning to Canada, which may result in a 100% tariff. The warning was issued in case Canada strengthened its commerce relationship with China.

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