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Business

EOG (EOG) Q1 2026 Earnings Name Transcript

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Last updated: May 6, 2026 4:19 pm
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Published: May 6, 2026
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EOG (EOG) Q1 2026 Earnings Name Transcript


We did this whereas producing a median ROCE of 27%, returning roughly $20 billion to shareholders, and sustaining a pristine steadiness sheet. EOG Sources, Inc. continues to take a constant strategy to capital allocation within the present surroundings. Given sturdy oil costs and softness in pure fuel, we have now refined our plan for the steadiness of 2026. We’re rising oil and NGL manufacturing whereas sustaining our $6.5 billion capital finances by reallocating capital from fuel to oil-weighted belongings. This can be a disciplined and pragmatic rebalancing that underscores the worth and adaptability of our multi-basin portfolio.

Our 2026 program contains manufacturing progress, home and worldwide exploration, and a peer-leading common dividend with a breakeven oil worth under $50 WTI, leaving ample room for extra money return to shareholders beneath present strip costs. This revised plan strikes the precise steadiness between near-term free money circulate technology and long-term worth creation, whereas preserving the power of our steadiness sheet. Turning to the macro backdrop, the battle involving Iran is essentially the most vital growth impacting our enterprise and the broader power markets. Disruptions to crude provide and flows by the Strait of Hormuz are estimated to take away roughly 900 million barrels from international markets by June 2026.

Even in a situation the place the battle is resolved comparatively shortly, rebuilding international inventories again to five-year common ranges will present ongoing assist for oil costs. Moreover, we count on the post-conflict outlook to incorporate replenishing strategic petroleum reserves, restricted remaining international spare capability, and the next geopolitical danger premium. Collectively, these dynamics level to a constructive oil worth surroundings with geopolitical developments more likely to proceed driving durations of upside volatility. On pure fuel, near-term strain stays with Decrease 48 storage ranges above the five-year common. Nonetheless, our medium- to long-term outlook stays constructive. U.S. pure fuel advantages from two sturdy structural tailwinds: rising LNG feed fuel demand and rising electrical energy consumption.

We count on U.S. pure fuel demand to develop at a 3% to five% compound annual progress charge by the tip of the last decade and imagine the beforehand forecasted potential for international LNG oversupply has been considerably lowered with the harm to LNG infrastructure overseas. Our investments in constructing a premium fuel place to enhance our oil enterprise have us effectively positioned to provide these increasing markets. And whereas EOG Sources, Inc.’s share worth has elevated following the onset of the battle, the transfer in oil costs has been much more pronounced. Consequently, we proceed to imagine EOG Sources, Inc. represents a compelling funding alternative for a number of causes.

First, we have now a high-return home and worldwide asset base with deep, long-duration stock. Throughout our multi-basin portfolio, we estimate roughly 12 billion barrels of oil equal of useful resource potential producing higher than a 100% direct after-tax charge of return at $55 WTI and $3 Henry Hub. Our disciplined capital funding permits us to tempo growth appropriately and direct capital in the direction of the highest-return alternatives throughout the portfolio. Second, we deliver differentiated exploration capabilities and roughly 25 years of unconventional expertise, a bonus we have now constantly leveraged to establish and seize alternatives forward of the market. Third, we have now a demonstrated observe file as a low-cost, extremely environment friendly operator supported by sturdy technical experience and operational execution.

Prior to now yr alone, we lowered common effectively price by 7% and working prices by 4%. Fourth, we generate sturdy free money circulate and constantly ship a peer-leading return on capital employed. Fifth, we stay dedicated to a sustainable and rising common dividend, complemented by significant more money returns. Notably, we have now by no means lowered nor suspended our common dividend in 28 years. Lastly, our pristine steadiness sheet gives resilience and strategic flexibility by commodity cycles. All of that is underpinned by EOG Sources, Inc.’s distinctive tradition: a decentralized, collaborative working mannequin that fosters innovation and drives efficiency on the asset degree.

In abstract, we’re off to a robust begin in 2026 and are effectively positioned to execute within the present macro surroundings. We stay targeted on delivering sustainable free money circulate, sustaining operational excellence, and creating long-term worth for our shareholders. Now, I’ll flip it over to Ann D. Janssen for particulars on our monetary efficiency.

Ann D. Janssen: Thanks, Ezra. EOG Sources, Inc. delivered one other quarter of excellent monetary efficiency, as soon as once more demonstrating the ability of our constant strategy to capital allocation: make investments with self-discipline, return money, and preserve a pristine steadiness sheet. Within the first quarter, we generated adjusted earnings per share of $3.41 and adjusted money circulate from operations per share of $5.85, constructing free money circulate of $1.5 billion. In the course of the first quarter, we returned roughly $950 million to shareholders, practically $550 million by our common dividend and roughly $400 million in share repurchases. With $2.9 billion remaining beneath our present share repurchase authorization at March 31, we have now substantial capability for continued opportunistic buybacks. Our monetary place stays distinctive.

We ended the primary quarter with over $3.8 billion in money, a rise of roughly $450 million since year-end 2025, and internet debt of $4.1 billion. Our leverage goal, which is sustaining whole debt at lower than one instances EBITDA at backside cycle costs of $45 WTI and $2.50 Henry Hub, stays among the many most stringent within the power sector. This gives each draw back safety throughout difficult durations and the monetary flexibility to take a position strategically by commodity cycles. Turning to 2026, our low-cost operations and monetary power enable us to be unhedged, offering shareholders full publicity to greater oil costs. At present strip pricing and utilizing steering midpoints, our 2026 plan generates a file $8.5 billion in free money circulate.

Given the substantial enhance in oil costs since late February, and the next enhance in our free money circulate, we count on to return at the least 70% of free money circulate this yr, which might characterize a file annual money return to shareholders. The inspiration of our money return stays our common dividend. Traditionally, we complement the common dividend with share buybacks or particular dividends. Over the previous three years, we have now favored share buybacks as our main supplemental return mechanism as we imagine the shares are attractively valued and we just like the connection between repurchasing inventory and dividend will increase. We’re dedicated to executing buybacks opportunistically.

If market situations warrant, we may construct some money on the steadiness sheet to offer future flexibility to maximise long-term worth creation. Our observe file speaks for itself. Whether or not by buybacks, particular dividends, strategic bolt-on acquisitions, or infrastructure investments, we have now constantly deployed capital to boost shareholder worth. EOG Sources, Inc.’s monetary basis has by no means been stronger. We’re producing vital free money circulate, returning significant money to shareholders, and sustaining monetary flexibility to capitalize on alternatives as they come up. This mixture of operational excellence and monetary self-discipline positions us exceptionally effectively for long-term worth creation. With that, I’ll flip it over to Jeffrey R. Leitzell for our working outcomes.

Jeffrey R. Leitzell: Thanks, Ann. I might first prefer to thank all of our staff for his or her excellent efficiency and environment friendly operational execution within the first quarter. Our quarterly volumes, whole per-unit money working prices, and DD&A beat steering midpoints. This was completed in the course of the quarter with a major winter storm occasion that impacted quite a few working areas and brought on substantial third-party downtime. With the advantage of EOG Sources, Inc.-owned and operated infield gathering programs, the usage of in-house manufacturing optimizers, area-specific management rooms, and our various advertising technique, our groups have been in a position to handle distant operations and decrease downtime throughout this occasion.

These efforts have allowed us to get off to a robust begin in 2026, and due to that, I want to acknowledge our area groups for all their arduous work and dedication. For the total yr 2026, we’re rising oil manufacturing steering by 2 thousand barrels per day and NGL manufacturing steering by 6 thousand barrels per day whereas retaining whole capital expenditures flat at $6.5 billion. The added oil and NGL volumes are pushed by reallocating capital throughout the portfolio somewhat than elevated exercise ranges. From a growth standpoint, we’re moderating near-term drilling and completions exercise at Dorado in response to present fuel costs.

Dorado stays a large-scale, high-quality dry fuel useful resource, and we proceed to take a position on this foundational asset at a tempo to steadiness short- and long-term free money circulate, develop into rising North American fuel demand, and leverage our technical learnings and infrastructure to proceed decreasing breakevens and develop margins. Capital is being reallocated to our foundational oil performs to leverage present market situations. This initiative underscores the power of our multi-basin portfolio, which permits us to repeatedly optimize capital allocation as commodity cycles evolve. This reallocation is weighted in the direction of 2026 whereas sustaining capital self-discipline and preserving long-term worth throughout the portfolio.

Turning to prices, we have now not seen any vital inflation with our providers or price will increase on high-quality rigs or frac spreads. For 2026, roughly 50% of our effectively prices are already locked in, and we proceed to rebid service to take care of pricing self-discipline. Whereas some distributors have added gas surcharges, our publicity to greater diesel costs is structurally decrease than many friends. Roughly 70% of our drilling rigs can run on pure fuel, and 100% of our frac fleets are e-frac or dual-fuel succesful, each in a position to be powered by our low-cost gas fuel. This considerably mitigates publicity from rising diesel costs. On the working price facet, the impression from greater diesel costs has been minor.

Total, we’re insulated from quite a few these potential inflationary pressures by our contracting technique and self-sourced supplies vertical integration. Lengthy-term, staggered contracts restrict publicity to identify market volatility, whereas our skill to supply key inputs immediately and leverage built-in infrastructure reduces danger to greater costs. Collectively, these actions enable us to take care of capital effectivity, drive execution, and give attention to sustainable price reductions, and are complemented by using knowledge and know-how to cut back time on location. All of this delivered vital outcomes throughout our portfolio within the quarter.

First, on drilled ft per day, we realized the next will increase in 2026 versus the full-year 2025 common: within the Utica, we elevated by 22%; the Powder River Basin elevated by 13%; and the Eagle Ford elevated by 12%. We proceed to make vital strides in capital by lateral size optimization, leading to fewer vertical wellbores to drill, extra productive time each on floor and downhole, in addition to a lowered floor footprint. As well as, EOG Sources, Inc.’s inside drilling motor program acts as a drive multiplier on these longer laterals, bettering downhole drilling efficiency and giving us the boldness to proceed extending laterals throughout the portfolio.

We’re targeted on drilling two- to three-mile laterals within the Delaware Basin and three- to four-mile laterals within the Utica and Eagle Ford performs. Second, our completions groups are persevering with to extend stimulation effectivity. Every of our foundational performs has elevated accomplished ft per day, led by the Eagle Ford and Delaware Basin, at 12% and 17% will increase in the course of the first quarter, respectively. One main issue that has allowed us to perform these outcomes is a rise in our most pumping charge capability by roughly 20% per frac fleet since 2023.

This has not solely allowed our technical groups to lower their whole pump instances but in addition allowed our engineers the pliability to tailor every high-intensity completion design across the distinctive geological traits of each goal. Moreover, our groups are making use of real-time geology, drilling, and completions knowledge to enhance effectively efficiency throughout the portfolio by revolutionary completions and concentrating on methods. For instance, our Western Eagle Ford wells are benefiting from bigger frac job designs, and we’re seeing constructive ends in the Utica from staggering our touchdown zones. Third, I want to spotlight our Janus Pure Fuel Processing Plant within the Delaware Basin.

Since November 2025, this plant has averaged 300 million customary cubic ft per day of processing, representing 94% plant utilization. Janus had a file month in March 2026 with 100% utilization and 300 million customary cubic ft per day of processing. Sturdy operations at Janus assist us cut back Delaware Basin GP&T prices whereas highlighting the benefit of strategic infrastructure investments. Delivering this degree of constant efficiency is spectacular and is a testomony to the execution of the groups on the bottom. That is one other instance of EOG Sources, Inc.’s operational excellence delivering monetary outcomes. Lastly, our advertising technique—constructed on flexibility, diversification, and management—continues to ship vital worth.

A key and rising facet to that is our entry to worldwide markets and publicity to premium pricing. On the crude facet, we have now entry to 250 thousand barrels per day of export capability out of Corpus Christi. We leverage this capability to achieve worldwide markets, and it offers us the pliability to cost crude on a domestic-based or Brent-linked worth. Relating to LNG fuel provide agreements, our Cheniere contract expanded from 140 thousand BTUs per day to 280 thousand BTUs per day throughout 2026. An extra 140 thousand BTUs will begin within the second quarter of this yr, bringing us to the total 420 thousand BTUs per day.

These volumes are linked to JKM or Henry Hub pricing at EOG Sources, Inc.’s election on a month-to-month foundation. We additionally provide 300 thousand BTUs per day of LNG feed fuel at Henry Hub-linked pricing. Collectively, these contracts spotlight that our advertising technique is a aggressive benefit and show how focused worldwide pricing publicity is driving premium realizations and incremental worth throughout each crude and pure fuel. After a robust first quarter, EOG Sources, Inc. is effectively positioned to execute on its full-year plan, and we’re enthusiastic about our operational staff’s skill to drive worth by the cycles. Now right here is Ezra to wrap up.

Ezra Y. Yacob: Thanks, Jeff. I want to be aware the next necessary takeaways. First, we have now began 2026 with sturdy momentum and execution throughout the enterprise. Second, capital self-discipline is a core pillar of our worth proposition. Now we have up to date our 2026 plan to extend oil manufacturing whereas retaining capital spending unchanged. Our portfolio is performing, our steadiness sheet is resilient, and our capital allocation stays firmly anchored in returns and shareholder worth. Third, we count on to proceed to ship in 2026 and past for our buyers. In a macro surroundings that calls for each agility and rigor, we’re effectively positioned not simply to navigate volatility, however to capitalize on it.

Our disciplined strategy to funding throughout our foundational and rising belongings continues to develop the free money circulate potential of the corporate each within the quick and long run. Total, our success is grounded in our dedication to capital self-discipline, operational excellence, and sustainability, underpinned by our tradition. Thanks for listening. Now we are going to go to Q&A.

Operator: Thanks. The query and reply session shall be performed electronically. Please accomplish that by urgent the star key adopted by the digit one. If you’re utilizing a speakerphone, you might be allowed one query and one follow-up. We’ll take as many questions as time permits. As soon as once more, star one. Our first query comes from Arun Jayaram of JPMorgan Securities LLC. Go forward, please.

Arun Jayaram: Sure, good morning. First query is on advertising. You raised your full-year oil steering by $3.25 a barrel. Are you able to remind us of the pricing mechanism on these waterborne barrels out of Corpus in addition to the potential uplift you anticipate from the Cheniere advertising settlement as you might be reaching 420 thousand BTUs in 2Q?

Jeffrey R. Leitzell: Sure, Arun, thanks for the query. First off, on the waterborne volumes that you just talked about, as I discussed in my opening feedback, we have now about 250 thousand barrels per day of export capability. These barrels might be linked both to home pricing or Brent-linked pricing. We mainly promote these cargo by cargo, on an each-ship foundation. There was a variety of worth volatility just lately with the battle, so we have now been in a position to promote quite a few cargoes at enticing pricing. It has actually been paying dividends to have that export capability to diversify our advertising on the oil facet.

Over on the JKM facet, if you have a look at LNG, you might be beginning to see a bit of little bit of the profit from that JKM linkage, however you might be additionally seeing a few of the volatility available in the market that’s counteracting that, so there’s a little little bit of noise. As , we got here into the yr producing 140 thousand MMBtu into that Cheniere contract. We elevated that one other 140 thousand in the course of the primary quarter, so you aren’t seeing the total realization circulate by, after which we could have the extra 140 thousand are available in in the course of the second quarter, and you’ll proceed to see it construct into our total steering as you progress ahead.

The opposite factor I might be aware on the precise worth realization for fuel is that though we have now fairly minimal publicity within the Permian to Waha—lower than 7%—you do see a bit of little bit of an impact on the belief for the primary quarter, particularly with a few of the decrease pricing over there. I don’t suppose you will notice that alleviate till most likely the final quarter, each time we begin bringing on some extra egress within the Permian Basin and produce on that 4 million to five million a day of capability. All in all, we’re extraordinarily pleased with our total worldwide publicity.

It’s a nice piece to diversify our total advertising technique, and particularly at instances of volatility, I believe our groups are doing an ideal job benefiting from it.

Arun Jayaram: Nice. And my follow-up is on the Center East exploration program. I used to be questioning in the event you may present a bit of little bit of an replace on what’s going on the bottom and the way, Ezra, you concentrate on capital allocation given the geopolitical danger state of affairs, though you might argue if the UAE does go away OPEC that maybe gives a possible tailwind to progress. And maybe you might give us a way of when EOG Sources, Inc. could also be ready to share preliminary outcomes both from Bahrain or UAE in your exploration program?

Ezra Y. Yacob: Sure, Arun, good morning. There’s a lot there, so let me unpack a few of it and possibly I’ll let Keith P. Trasko deal with the present operations piece. On the UAE’s determination to go away OPEC, it does not likely have any change or impression for EOG Sources, Inc. We only in the near past started operations within the nation, so we have now not felt any impression, and going ahead, we actually don’t count on to. I believe it reveals a few of the constructive steps the UAE is taking inside their nation.

From our perspective, our intention has all the time been that if the performs are profitable, returns are going to drive the funding and progress within the oil play extra so than any kind of manufacturing quotas. So far as continued capital allocation given the geopolitical danger, long run it’s nonetheless early within the battle to be making these kinds of selections. In the course of the exploration part, we entered this making an attempt to do a few various things—actually evaluating the subsurface potential of the fields. We actually wished to judge the floor and working surroundings: can we get entry to high-quality gear, can we construct scale there, and issues of that nature?

We’re additionally trying in the course of the exploration part to judge the geopolitics, the sanctity of contracts, our companions, issues of that nature. With nice confidence right here throughout this battle, we have now undoubtedly landed with sturdy partnerships with each ADNOC and BAPCO. There was very clear communication and easy alignment on our operations, and that actually offers us fairly good confidence going ahead. It really offers me confidence in the best way that we strategy or have a look at the potential for different worldwide alternatives.

Keith P. Trasko: On the operations facet, we’re intently monitoring the state of affairs in each Bahrain and the UAE. It’s fairly dynamic. Now we have some staff that stay within the area whereas others have been repositioned. Because the program remains to be within the exploration part, our 2026 plan for Bahrain and UAE was designed with a variety of flexibility. On the timeline facet, each tasks are shifting ahead according to our expectations for exploration performs. The near-term timeline has slipped barely from the beginning of the yr, so we anticipate having ends in the second half of this yr, and we are going to present extra updates if there are materials adjustments. Over the long run, we stay very excited.

We entered the UAE and Bahrain as a result of we noticed compelling subsurface alternatives, constructive manufacturing outcomes from prior horizontal growth, and robust companions in each international locations. In Bahrain, you’ve got a good fuel sand. Within the UAE, you’ve got a carbonate mudrock; we’re very used to coping with these kinds of rocks. We imagine they’ll profit considerably from the drilling and completions applied sciences that we make use of in our home unconventional performs day-after-day. Within the present exploration part, we’re gathering knowledge on long-term effectively prices, evaluating our skill to entry high-performing service gear, and we began exploration exercise with restricted operations in each international locations final yr.

Our aim stays to leverage our core competencies in onshore unconventional growth to unlock sources aggressive with the home portfolio.

Operator: Our subsequent query comes from Stephen I. Richardson of Evercore. Go forward, please.

Stephen I. Richardson: Hello, good morning. Ezra, it seems like the choice to pivot a bit of bit extra in the direction of liquids is extra to do with the chance of liquids than it’s a change in your longer-term view in fuel. Possibly you might speak in regards to the worth of retaining the capital flat and making that adjustment throughout the portfolio, after which what it does sound like you might be pondering—that it is a longer-term impression to market, which I believe we might agree with. So how does that set you up for 2027 and past from a liquids and doubtlessly oil progress perspective?

Ezra Y. Yacob: Sure, Steve, nice query and good morning. I might begin with the choice on the capital reallocation this yr. It truly is simply taking a look at the place the dynamics have performed out and what has occurred because the starting of the yr. There was a dramatic upset on the liquids facet, on the oil facet, and you’ve got seen a dramatic response within the oil worth. Conversely, on the pure fuel facet, stock ranges—after beginning the yr off fairly sturdy supporting worth—have climbed above the five-year common, and fuel costs have pulled again a bit.

For us, it’s a fairly easy calculation of reallocating a few of the exercise in Dorado to a few of our extra oil-weighted belongings, not only for returns, however fairly frankly, there’s a name throughout the globe proper now for elevated oil provide, and so that’s what we’re doing. In Dorado, we have now made incredible progress. Now we have lowered our effectively prices with our goal down under $700 per foot, and we really feel assured that we are able to hit that this yr. As , we have now a low breakeven worth of about $1.40 per Mcf.

The benefit of getting a multi-basin portfolio with each geographic and product range is that we have now the pliability to maneuver capital allocation round all through the years in the event you see one thing as dramatic as we have now this yr. For 2027, this does set us up higher to develop liquids—these maneuvers that we have now achieved now—to develop liquids, possibly a bit of extra oil, a bit of extra aggressive in 2027. However actually, it’s too early to get there. We have to proceed to see how the battle proceeds. That’s the reason we’re assured in our plan at present to take care of our capital finances as a result of we wish to see how these items begin to play out a bit of bit longer.

We’re not fairly there but so far as making a name on selecting up rigs or frac fleets and investing long run. Simply this morning, over the past 10 to 12 hours, you’ll be able to see how risky the state of affairs stays. Whereas we do suppose long run this units up an surroundings the place there’s a a lot greater ground for oil worth than the place we entered the yr, we want to have higher line of sight and perceive that a bit of bit extra earlier than we took any extra steps ahead.

Stephen I. Richardson: That’s nice. Very clear. Possibly I may additionally ask on the buyback. It seems such as you stepped up on the buyback fairly considerably within the month of April right here, and that’s regardless of, I believe we might agree, that oil worth is above a view of mid-cycle if you simply talked about a few of the volatility. I believe Ann talked about this in her script, however are you able to speak a bit of bit about how tactical you might be keen to be across the buyback and the way you concentrate on that relative to the worth of only a ratable program all year long? As a result of clearly there’s a ton of volatility within the commodity and your inventory worth as we glance ahead.

Ann D. Janssen: Sure. Good morning, Steve. Via the primary 4 months of 2026, we have now seen distinctive worth in our inventory, and that has been mirrored within the buyback exercise you referenced. It has put us in a superb place to return at the least 70% of annual free money circulate again to our shareholders this yr. As reported within the first quarter, we repurchased 3.2 million shares. To dissect that a bit of, we did have some limitations on buybacks in the course of the fourth-quarter earnings interval as a result of for the primary two months of 2026, we have been working beneath the parameters of a 10b5-1, so nearly all of these 3.2 million shares have been repurchased in March.

Then we leaned in, and from April 1 to April 28, we repurchased roughly 2.3 million extra shares. That is mostly a testomony to us persevering with to see a variety of worth in our inventory pushed by great constructive momentum we see throughout the firm. We imagine these buybacks assist sustainable progress of our common dividend. Lastly, in the event you have a look at the power weighting within the S&P 500, regardless of the rise in inventory costs, it’s nonetheless very low at roughly 3.5%. It’s also possible to see free money circulate yields within the power sector are near historic highs.

Now we have allotted over $7.1 billion to repurchases since we first began shopping for again inventory in 2023, and that has allowed us to cut back our share depend by greater than 10% at compelling costs. That disciplined strategy focuses on being opportunistic and positions us to create significant worth for our shareholders, and we stay assured continued enchancment in our enterprise and rising intrinsic worth will present extra alternatives for us to purchase again our inventory going ahead.

Operator: The subsequent query comes from Joshua Silverstein of UBS. Go forward, please.

Joshua Silverstein: Only a query on the shifting exercise. I used to be curious in regards to the determination course of as to the way you reallocated amongst the three completely different basins there. Why 10 extra within the Utica versus 5 within the Delaware versus, say, 15 all within the Utica or Delaware? I used to be curious if there was one thing that drove this or if it was based mostly on what you might do with the present rigs and frac crews there? Thanks.

Jeffrey R. Leitzell: Hey, Josh. Thanks for the query. There may be nothing to learn into there in any respect. It actually simply occurs to be what flexibility we have now in our exercise schedules at this level within the yr throughout all of the belongings. A few issues I might state: within the Utica, the place we’re rising 10, we have now seen a few of the best drilling within the firm, and we have now talked about that very overtly, with actually stable effectivity positive factors even within the first quarter the place we elevated our drilled ft per day by 22% versus 2025. Seeing excellent outcomes there has allowed us to construct our working DUC depend a bit of greater than a few of the different performs.

Within the Delaware, all the things goes excellent as effectively. We are usually a bit of bit extra environment friendly on the completion facet there as a result of we have now full super-zipper operation throughout our fleets together with all of our sand logistics in place, so you actually do not need delays there. We additionally noticed a 17% enhance within the first quarter on accomplished lateral ft per day, which was retaining the DUC depend a bit of tighter.

That’s all it’s—simply the mechanics of how issues have been shifting, the timelines we had between our rigs and completion fleets in every one of many divisions, and the way it made sense to allocate that capital and hold every division wholesome so we are able to hold bettering every one.

Joshua Silverstein: Obtained it. Thanks for that. After which I do know you haven’t added any extra CapEx for exploration for this yr, however I’m curious with the extra money you’ll now be constructing if there are new prospects you might be teeing up for exploration for subsequent yr, each domestically and internationally. I do know you guys are all the time out in search of new areas to go in—some useful resource upside. So curious for an replace there. Thanks.

Keith P. Trasko: Sure. Now we have quite a few exploration performs, each home and on the worldwide facet. In actual fact, I might say possibly much more on the home facet than worldwide. Our groups are all the time using knowledge from our profitable performs to revisit basins, have a look at new basins, and see what may very well be unlocked with the brand new know-how we have now utilized to different performs and with the decrease prices of at present than within the years that the basin was first checked out. We’re all the time looking out for what could make our stock higher. I can’t touch upon specifics, however as , exploration has all the time been our most popular methodology of including low-cost reserves.

You have a look at DoradoCo, you have a look at Dorado, you have a look at our Utica first-movers, Trinidad exploration; even the Encino acquisition was born of natural exploration from the years prior. We count on all our asset groups to be exploring for stock additions and/or one thing transformative. Now we have a number of prospects and leasing campaigns, and once we are able to touch upon specifics of a given program, we accomplish that. Exploration is an enormous manner that we ship worth to shareholders.

Operator: The subsequent query comes from Scott Michael Hanold of RBC. Go forward, please.

Scott Michael Hanold: Sure, thanks. If I may return to the shareholder return dialogue, I’m not certain if that is for Ann or Ezra, however may you give us a view of how you concentrate on variable dividends? I do know there have been quite a few your friends who’ve shelved that idea. In case your inventory worth does go at a degree, do you continue to see variables having some worth? And secondly, on shareholder returns, is there the flexibility or need so that you can push to, say, a 90% to 100% return versus the bottom 70% degree like you’ve got achieved in previous quarters?

Ezra Y. Yacob: Good morning, Scott. Thanks for the query. On the particular dividend piece, that’s nonetheless in our combine. Now we have been clear that the inspiration of our money return to shareholders is the common dividend. That’s the one which we love—sustainably rising that common dividend. We predict it sends a message of self-discipline to our buyers; it reveals rising confidence in capital effectivity going ahead. Once we first began doing more money return three and a half to 4 years in the past, we leaned in on particular dividends a bit greater than buybacks.

Now we have all the time stated that, generally, we’re fairly agnostic to how we return that more money to shareholders, however we’re dedicated, so far as buybacks go, to being opportunistic. Now we have actually shifted in the previous few years. Over simply over three years now, we have now proven a observe file of constantly being available in the market day-after-day in search of alternatives. So opportunistic—not essentially simply holding out for a dramatic black swan occasion—however actually taking a look at the place we are able to create worth for shareholders by the cycle. I believe we have now achieved an ideal job with that.

We’re additionally very cognizant to not let this program turn into procyclical, and that’s one motive why we have now that 70% minimal return dedication. Going to a 90% to 100% return at these elevated costs—I might not say nothing is not possible, however I might spotlight that we want to construct a bit of more money on the steadiness sheet on this a part of the upcycle and put together for a possible future pullback in costs the place we may proceed our observe file of constructive countercyclical funding.

A few of the issues I discussed earlier—funding within the Janus processing plant, the Encino acquisition, the bolt-on within the Eagle Ford, a few of our advertising agreements—are actually once we create vital worth for shareholders: having the ability to have the steadiness sheet to zig when possibly others are zagging.

Scott Michael Hanold: Respect that context. My follow-up is on the premium pricing within the contracts. You all clearly have been a step forward of different corporations with signing these agreements and benefiting proper now. As you look forward, is there additional alternative to construct on that, or are these extra countercyclical selections?

Jeffrey R. Leitzell: Sure, Scott. Our advertising staff seems day in and day trip for brand new alternatives, new shops, and diversifying the portfolio we have now—each domestically, the place we have now rising performs and are in new areas, and internationally. We’re continuously including new markets and making an attempt to reduce differentials to maximise netbacks. On the worldwide facet, we have now nice publicity with our LNG agreements, as we have now talked about, getting near 1 Bcf a day. We proceed to search for distinctive methods to cost fuel going offshore to attempt to take volatility out and get a premium worth. As we have now talked about, the Cheniere settlement is form of a sweetheart deal, so it’s powerful to get these sorts of phrases.

However we’re nonetheless available in the market and taking a look at alternatives. With the scale of the corporate we at the moment are, we have now a variety of scale in all these basins and internationally. With how low-cost we’re, we’re in a position to hold operations shifting with constant exercise. That is a bonus to us in negotiations, together with our steadiness sheet—which counterparties know shall be resilient by cycles—and we are able to lean on that. That tends to assist in negotiations to get us higher pricing. Our aim is to proceed to enhance our total worth realization and maximize netbacks, and we are going to proceed to search for methods to try this.

Operator: Our subsequent query comes from Phillip J. Jungwirth of BMO. Go forward, please.

Phillip J. Jungwirth: We’re developing on nearly a yr because you introduced the nCino acquisition. One of many stuff you famous on the time was EOG Sources, Inc.’s risky oil wells being 8% to 10% extra productive than Encino. I do know we have now talked so much about decrease effectively prices, however hoping you might replace us on what you might be seeing on the productiveness facet now that you’ve some EOG-drilled and accomplished wells on. After which additionally, may you develop on that staggered lateral remark that you just had earlier and what precisely you might be doing right here?

Keith P. Trasko: Morning. On the productiveness facet within the Utica, we’re treating all of it as one asset now. We see actually constant productiveness in this system yr over yr. I might say we’re even a bit of stunned to the upside in a few of the step-out areas. On the staggering targets that Jeff talked about, we have now been testing that, particularly within the north the place you’ve got a thicker part. Now we have been seeing good outcomes. Our aim is all the time to extend restoration of every acre and every part, and we are going to take these learnings, combine them with our detailed geologic mapping, and see the place within the play we are able to apply it.

Over the long run, there are a variety of alternatives to use learnings from how Encino did issues by to our different analog performs throughout the firm to proceed to enhance effectively efficiency.

Phillip J. Jungwirth: Okay, nice. And then you definitely additionally talked about that Eagle Ford bolt-on earlier within the ready remarks. You may have achieved a extremely good job bettering returns within the Western Eagle Ford by efficiencies, lengthy laterals—4 milers. It’s an space we have now not seen a lot business consolidation. Primarily based on the synergies you’ve got realized within the Utica, does this make you extra inspired about pursuing extra bolt-ons within the Eagle Ford or elsewhere, given you’ll be able to deliver superior working and advertising capabilities that may create worth?

Ezra Y. Yacob: Thanks, Philip. It’s a good query. We all the time knew earlier than doing the nCino acquisition that we must always have a bonus in a variety of areas—belongings we’d have the ability to enhance with our operations, price construction, and advertising, such as you talked about. The problem has all the time been getting these offers achieved at a worth that permits the all-in returns to essentially compete. Anytime you might be shopping for something with a variety of manufacturing, that weighs on the returns profile of the general challenge, so the upside actually must be there to counteract a typical 10% to 12% bid-ask unfold. That’s all the time the problem.

Cyclically, such as you identified, final yr we have been in a position to get a few offers achieved. The primary was Encino, clearly with a variety of manufacturing, however Keith simply talked a few great quantity of upside. We actually received to show to ourselves precisely what you might be asking: that scale, our information base, and our database from outdoors a single basin—and bringing knowledge from different basins—can add great worth. We noticed nice margin growth and nice enchancment on the effectively productiveness facet and, as you identified, on the effectively price facet. The opposite one we did was within the Eagle Ford. That was form of a needle in a haystack.

It primarily had zero manufacturing—very, very low manufacturing—and we have been surrounding that acreage. It slot in like a jigsaw puzzle piece. It was incredible for us. We instantly received the manufacturing that was there into a few of our infrastructure. We instantly began to increase some laterals we have been drilling surrounding the acreage onto the acreage, and really shortly, inside this primary yr that we have now had that bolt-on in our portfolio, we have now already drilled quite a few high-return wells on it.

You’re proper—it has gone a great distance towards telling us that persevering with countercyclically and specializing in returns is a successful technique for us in terms of both bolt-ons or potential offers that include a little bit of manufacturing as effectively.

Operator: The subsequent query comes from Doug Leggate of Wolfe Analysis. Go forward, please.

Doug Leggate: Ezra, I’m wondering if I can return to the liquids pivot, and I simply wished to grasp a bit of bit extra what you might be really doing there. Have you ever bodily reallocated gear, or was this—forgive me—a traditional EOG beat-and-raise? What have you ever really achieved otherwise? The explanation I ask is, in the event you flex issues that shortly, how do you preserve effectivity? I’m questioning if this was underlying manufacturing and productiveness beats that have been going to occur anyway.

Jeffrey R. Leitzell: Hey, Doug. The very first thing I might say with the precise productiveness increase for the yr is that we did have a beat within the first quarter. Apart from that, we’re reacting to what we’re seeing from a worth standpoint and making very modest changes to the exercise schedule across the portfolio—simply shifting funding from fuel to grease. What that actually means is we’re taking a bit of little bit of capital out of Dorado. It isn’t a complete lot. We’re going to drop them down to only lower than a frac fleet, so they’ll nonetheless have loads of exercise to give attention to the asset, proceed to maneuver it ahead, and progress it.

The one factor is the exit charge now in Dorado will drop a bit of bit; it would go from a Bcf goal to only over 800 million a day. We really do have a rig down there that’s going to go up and drill simply a few DUCs in San Antonio, really. We’re reallocating the remainder of the capital so as to add 5 internet completions within the Delaware Basin after which the ten internet within the Utica, which may be very small and inside rounding. 5 wells within the Delaware are simply additions to a bundle—it’s not actually any extra gear.

Within the Utica, it’s comparable—the place the rig has gotten out in entrance, it’s simply a few packages of DUC stock. A whole lot of it, as I stated, is as a result of nice efficiency and constant effectivity, which has allowed us to do the increase on the entire yr throughout the similar CapEx of $6.5 billion. As we said, it would add 2 thousand barrels per day on the yr for oil and 6 thousand barrels per day on the NGL facet. We hold hitting on it, however it is among the advantages of getting this multi-basin portfolio.

Now we have a number of high-return belongings throughout the corporate that every one compete for capital, and it offers us a variety of flexibility to change our plan in actual time in a short time with out a lot disturbance—and maximize shareholder worth by the cycles.

Doug Leggate: I admire that, Jeff. Ezra, possibly for you then—particularly, my follow-up is mainly not a capital return query essentially; it’s extra of a philosophical query. Remarkably, your yield is now greater than ExxonMobil, and we have a tendency to think about them as utilizing buybacks to handle their dividend burden. You may have additionally received a pristine steadiness sheet. How do you concentrate on that cut up between permitting the dividend burden to maneuver up versus the danger—as you identified—of procyclical buybacks? And possibly as an add-on to that, are you ready to let your steadiness sheet return to internet debt zero? Possibly you might contact on these points.

Ezra Y. Yacob: These are good questions. On internet debt zero, I might not say it’s a goal for us, however you clearly noticed that we have now been there earlier than. I might not thoughts getting there once more. With the 70% minimal dedication we have now in place, it might be tough to get there this yr, however doubtlessly within the subsequent couple of years. One of many issues to bear in mind is that we predict having a pristine steadiness sheet is a aggressive benefit. It lets you transfer from a place of power, and that features money on the steadiness sheet. With reference to the dividend, hopefully the dividend yield will transfer the opposite manner and get decrease.

The best way we take into consideration share repurchases—this has been a little bit of a studying expertise—it’s easy math that when you find yourself shopping for again inventory, that reduces your absolute dividend dedication. Having been available in the market shopping for again inventory for 3 years, we actually have good expertise with that, and we find it irresistible. Going again to Scott’s query, possibly we aren’t fairly as agnostic anymore on particular dividends versus inventory buybacks as a result of we do see the continuing profit and the correlation with our skill to proceed to extend the common dividend. The common dividend is now about $4.80 annualized per share, and it has a yield that’s aggressive throughout the broad market.

Over the three years we have now been shopping for again inventory—throughout a softer a part of the cycle—we have now a compound annual progress charge on the dividend of about 9%. That’s one thing we’re happy with and proceed to sit up for discussing with the Board. Our dividend will increase ought to mirror progress, margin growth, and the continuing capital effectivity of the corporate, and any share repurchases clearly assist that as effectively.

Operator: Subsequent query comes from Analyst at Truist. Go forward, please.

Analyst: Thanks, Cindy. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for the time and ready remarks. Ezra, I hoped you might return to your views on the macro. It actually looks as if possibly your bias, as soon as all this ends, is mid-cycle oil is possibly greater than what all of us anticipated previous to the Iran battle. Are you able to speak a bit of bit about how this might change the way you allocate capital on a go-forward foundation? I’m curious how you concentrate on extra progress in a supportive oil worth surroundings and the way you allocate throughout oil versus fuel?

Ezra Y. Yacob: That could be a good query. I might say we’re a bit of bit extra bullish going ahead. It could be a little bit of semantics, however I’m not certain we might say the mid-cycle worth has modified dramatically. I might body it as: for the following few years, we predict we’re going to be in an surroundings above mid-cycle costs. Traditionally, it is a cyclical enterprise. If you look again at five-, 10-, 15-year runs, WTI normally leads to the mid-$60s—round $65. The purpose now could be that with stock ranges the place they’ve gotten all the way down to, it will take fairly some time to get inventories again as much as the five-year common.

That will assume barrels circulate fairly simply by the Strait of Hormuz, the dedicated SPR releases hit the market, and funding within the U.S. and non-OPEC is above the place it was once we entered 2026. What does that imply for us? We put out a three-year situation at first of this yr that contemplated an surroundings based mostly on fundamentals the place we have been investing to develop the enterprise on the oil facet at about low single digits. If there was an actual name going ahead supported by fundamentals on shale, we may enhance possibly to mid-single digits. Actually, that low single-digit plan is a really compelling situation. It isn’t steering; it’s a situation.

It delivers, on a conservative $60 to $80 WTI vary, a 15% to 25% ROCE, $12 billion to $24 billion in free money circulate, and a compound annual progress charge of free money circulate of 6% plus. That’s straight free money circulate, not per share—so any extra buybacks clearly enhance that. The massive takeaway is even on the similar strip worth because the previous three years, our go-forward situation would enhance cumulative free money circulate by about 20% over the previous three years. Leaning in a bit of extra aggressively into progress not solely must be supported by fundamentals, however we additionally should be conscious of the fee surroundings.

We don’t wish to lean right into a higher-cost surroundings simply to develop manufacturing if you’re operating into inflationary headwinds. Rising stock ranges again to the five-year common is finest for shoppers and power affordability, however to do it at an acceptable price. We shall be very considerate and deliberate earlier than we did one thing like that.

Analyst: Thanks, Ezra. That’s actually useful. I’ll go away it there since we’re on the hour. Actually admire the time.

Ezra Y. Yacob: Thanks.

Operator: This concludes our query and reply session. I want to flip the convention again over to Ezra Y. Yacob for any closing remarks.

Ezra Y. Yacob: I might identical to to say that we admire everybody’s time at present. Thanks to our shareholders on your assist and particular due to our staff for delivering one other distinctive quarter.

Operator: The convention has now concluded. Thanks for attending at present’s presentation. It’s possible you’ll now disconnect.

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This text is a transcript of this convention name produced for The Motley Idiot. Whereas we try for our Silly Greatest, there could also be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies on this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Idiot doesn’t assume any accountability on your use of this content material, and we strongly encourage you to do your personal analysis, together with listening to the decision your self and studying the corporate’s SEC filings. Please see our Phrases and Situations for extra particulars, together with our Compulsory Capitalized Disclaimers of Legal responsibility.

The Motley Idiot recommends EOG Sources. The Motley Idiot has a disclosure coverage.

EOG (EOG) Q1 2026 Earnings Name Transcript was initially printed by The Motley Idiot

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