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CFTC Will get Blended Responses to Prediction Market Rulemaking

Editor
Last updated: May 4, 2026 7:25 am
Editor
Published: May 4, 2026
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CFTC Will get Blended Responses to Prediction Market Rulemaking


The US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee acquired greater than 1,500 responses to a proposed rule tied to prediction markets, with some backing the regulator whereas others known as for a harder crackdown on the platforms.

The CFTC’s request for public feedback on a rule it proposed in March that might enable it to amend or problem new rules for occasion contracts on prediction markets ended on Thursday, drawing responses from prediction markets, crypto companies and shopper advocacy teams.

Kalshi co-founder and chief working officer Luana Lopes Lara backed the CFTC in a letter on Thursday, saying its current rules had been “well-designed and efficient,” urging it to provide steerage to make sure “that the universe of occasion contracts can proceed to be listed, traded, and overseen by the Fee.”

The CFTC’s proposed rule comes because it seems to cement its authority over prediction markets, which have confronted authorized challenges from a number of US states that accuse the platforms of providing unlicensed sports activities playing.

Kalshi, Polymarket and Coinbase are among the many corporations which have been sued over their sports activities prediction market choices and have argued they’re below the CFTC’s sole authority, a place the regulator has backed by suing not less than 5 state governments that took authorized motion towards prediction markets.

Polymarket US CEO Justin Hertzberg applauded CFTC Chair Mike Selig in his letter for “asserting the CFTC’s longstanding unique jurisdiction over prediction markets,” including the corporate believes the regulator “ought to proceed to train its unique jurisdiction over prediction markets.”

Mike Selig, pictured on a podcast in March, has threatened to sue any state that takes motion towards prediction markets. Supply: YouTube

Enterprise capital agency Andreessen Horowitz additionally supported the CFTC, arguing in its letter that “state actions to manage or ban prediction markets impose a critical barrier to neutral entry,” a key rule for CFTC-regulated companies.

In the meantime, playing regulators in Tennessee, Missouri and Pennsylvania, amongst others, blasted the CFTC over its protection of sports activities occasion contracts, urging the regulator to drop its assist.

Pennsylvania Gaming Management Board Government Director Kevin O’Toole stated the CFTC was permitting prediction markets “to masquerade as unregulated sportsbooks,” whereas Tennessee Sports activities Wagering Council Government Director Mary Beth Thomas stated the council disputes “that sports activities occasion contracts provided on prediction markets fall throughout the jurisdiction of the CFTC in any respect.”

Associated: Polymarket pushes for broader US relaunch with CFTC talks: Report

Missouri Gaming Fee govt director Michael Leara stated that Congress “didn’t intend futures markets to embody playing actions,” and urged the CFTC to “correctly reserve jurisdiction over sports activities occasion contracts for the states.” 

Prediction markets have additionally come below scrutiny from some federal lawmakers, who’re involved concerning the platforms’ providing markets tied to geopolitical occasions and their potential use by these with insider data after well-timed bets on the Iran warfare.

Dennis Kelleher, the CEO and co-founder of the patron advocacy group Higher Markets, and 12 different shopper teams, advised the CFTC in a joint letter that it ought to “prohibit occasion contracts that contain elections or geopolitical occasions,” arguing such contracts might affect authorities actions.

Kalshi and Polymarket stated final week, after the US Senate handed a ban on its members and workers utilizing prediction markets, that they’ve cracked down on insider buying and selling and ban or prohibit some customers, similar to politicians, from utilizing their platforms.

Journal: Ought to customers be allowed to wager on warfare and dying in prediction markets?

Cointelegraph is dedicated to impartial, clear journalism. This information article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Coverage and goals to offer correct and well timed info. Readers are inspired to confirm info independently.
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