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Reading: Australia’s third-quarter GDP expands at quickest tempo in about 2 years
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Stock Market

Australia’s third-quarter GDP expands at quickest tempo in about 2 years

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Last updated: December 3, 2025 2:58 am
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Published: December 3, 2025
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Australia’s third-quarter GDP expands at quickest tempo in about 2 years


Sydney Opera Home, designed by Danish architect Mr Jorn Oberg Utzon, at first mild because the solar rises over Sydney harbor and metropolis heart skyscrapers.

Ucg | Common Photographs Group | Getty Photographs

Australia’s third-quarter financial development missed analysts’ expectations, however clocked its quickest enlargement in about two years, pushed by robust funding and client demand.

The nation’s GDP expanded 2.1% yr on yr, marking its strongest enlargement because the third quarter of 2023 when the economic system expanded on the identical charge, knowledge from the Australian Bureau of Statistics confirmed on Wednesday. GDP missed economists’ forecast for a 2.2% development.

On a quarter-on-quarter foundation, Australia’s GDP grew 0.4% in contrast with 0.7% forecast in a Reuters ballot.

“The miss is not an indication of a materially weaker economic system,” stated Harry Murphy Cruise, head of financial analysis and world commerce at Oxford Economics, noting that excluding inventories and commerce, the home economic system surged 1.2% in contrast with the earlier quarter — the quickest enlargement in additional than two years.

Echoing that view, Sunny Nguyen, head of Australia economics at Moody’s Analytics, attributed the softer-than-expected headline determine partly to companies writing down inventories “extra aggressively than anticipated.”

“However they are saying extra about timing and accounting than underlying ultimate demand,” Nguyen added.

Home ultimate demand contributed 1.1 proportion factors to development. Non-public funding grew on the quickest tempo since March 2021, pushed by enterprise funding in equipment, gear and main knowledge facilities throughout New South Wales and Victoria.

Family consumption continued to increase, led by insurance coverage, electrical energy, gasoline, hire, healthcare and meals.

In the meantime, internet commerce was a significant drag, denting the economic system by 0.1 proportion level, as imports development outpaced rise in exports within the three months by means of September.

Earlier than the GDP knowledge was launched, Reserve Financial institution of Australia Governor Michele Bullock cautioned that the economic system had doubtless hit its potential development restrict at a time when inflation has been staying above the financial institution’s goal. The board will act on renewed value pressures, Bullock added.

The nation’s inflation accelerated in October, rising 3.8% yr on yr, marking its quickest tempo in seven months, exceeding the RBA’s focused vary of two% and three%.

On the financial coverage assembly final month, the central financial institution stored its rate of interest unchanged at 3.6%, saying it was cautious about easing additional, given a strengthening economic system, tight labor market and chronic inflationary stress.

Fee bets

“The Q3 knowledge confirms that the economic system continues to be too scorching for the RBA’s liking,” stated Cruise, including that charge cuts have been “off the desk for a while” and a hike subsequent week to nip inflation “cannot be dominated out.”

Australian authorities 10-year bond yield rose 4 foundation factors to 4.650 after the discharge. It has gained 55 foundation factors since mid-October.

Bullock stated final month that the present rate of interest reducing cycle might be near an finish, with the central financial institution forecasting inflation to remain above its goal vary of two% to three% till the second half of subsequent yr.

The RBA’s board meets subsequent week and is broadly anticipated to depart rates of interest at 3.6%.

Within the second quarter this yr, Australia’s economic system expanded 1.8% yr on yr, in contrast with 1.3% within the prior quarter, underpinned by home spending together with family and authorities consumption.

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Reading: Australia’s third-quarter GDP expands at quickest tempo in about 2 years
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