Alvin Lang
Feb 10, 2026 07:55
TON Value Prediction Abstract • Brief-term goal (1 week) : $1.41-$1.45 • Medium-term forecast (1 month) : $1.45-$1.60 vary • Bullish breakout degree : $1.41 • Important assist : $1.3…
TON Value Prediction Abstract
• Brief-term goal (1 week): $1.41-$1.45
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.45-$1.60 vary
• Bullish breakout degree: $1.41
• Important assist: $1.31
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
Whereas particular analyst predictions are restricted for the present timeframe, on-chain metrics recommend Toncoin is approaching oversold situations that traditionally precede worth recoveries. In line with latest market knowledge, TON has skilled important deviation from earlier January forecasts that projected targets between $2.13 to $2.39, indicating the market has undergone a considerable correction section.
The present technical positioning suggests institutional accumulation could also be occurring at these decrease ranges, although buying and selling quantity stays comparatively modest at $7.8 million on Binance spot markets.
TON Technical Evaluation Breakdown
Toncoin’s technical panorama presents a combined however more and more constructive image. The RSI studying of 38.76 locations TON in impartial territory, approaching oversold situations that usually sign potential reversals. This RSI degree signifies promoting stress could also be exhausting itself.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 reveals bearish momentum is stalling, with the primary MACD line at -0.0702 matching the sign line precisely. This convergence usually precedes directional adjustments in worth motion.
Bollinger Band evaluation reveals TON buying and selling at 0.24 place between the bands, considerably nearer to the decrease band at $1.27 than the higher band at $1.60. This positioning, mixed with the center band (20-day SMA) at $1.43, suggests substantial upside potential if momentum shifts constructive.
The transferring common construction reveals fast resistance on the 7-day SMA of $1.37, adopted by extra important resistance on the 20-day SMA of $1.43. The 50-day SMA at $1.59 represents the important thing medium-term goal, whereas the 200-day SMA at $2.28 highlights the longer-term upside potential.
Toncoin Value Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish State of affairs
A sustained break above $1.41 resistance might set off a transfer towards $1.45-$1.50 within the close to time period. Technical affirmation would come from RSI transferring above 45 and MACD histogram turning constructive.
The first bullish goal sits at $1.60 (higher Bollinger Band), representing roughly 18% upside from present ranges. A break above this degree might prolong beneficial properties towards the 50-day transferring common at $1.59, creating a possible 20% rally state of affairs.
Quantity growth above 10 million each day on Binance would supply extra affirmation of bullish momentum resumption.
Bearish State of affairs
Failure to carry assist at $1.33 might set off additional draw back towards $1.31 robust assist. A break under this degree would expose TON to a possible decline towards $1.27 (decrease Bollinger Band).
Essentially the most regarding bearish state of affairs would contain a breakdown under $1.25, which might set off algorithmic promoting and push costs towards the psychological $1.00 degree. Nonetheless, present technical indicators recommend this state of affairs has decrease chance given the impartial RSI studying.
Ought to You Purchase TON? Entry Technique
The present technical setup suggests a scaled entry method for Toncoin. Preliminary positions might be established round $1.35-$1.36, with extra purchases deliberate on any dips towards $1.31-$1.33 assist zone.
Cease-loss ranges ought to be positioned under $1.29 to restrict draw back threat whereas permitting for regular worth volatility. The each day ATR of $0.11 signifies typical each day strikes of roughly 8%, supporting this stop-loss placement.
Threat administration suggests place sizing ought to account for potential 15-20% drawdowns, with whole TON allocation not exceeding 2-3% of portfolio worth given the present market uncertainty.
Conclusion
This TON worth prediction suggests average bullish potential over the subsequent 4-6 weeks, with targets between $1.45-$1.60 representing affordable expectations. The Toncoin forecast depends closely on technical assist holding at present ranges and broader cryptocurrency market stability.
Present risk-reward ratios favor lengthy positions, with potential 15-20% upside in opposition to 8-12% draw back threat to main assist ranges. Nonetheless, merchants ought to stay cautious given the numerous deviation from earlier analyst projections and monitor quantity patterns for affirmation of any breakout makes an attempt.
This evaluation is for informational functions solely and shouldn’t be thought-about monetary recommendation. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial threat, and previous efficiency doesn’t assure future outcomes.
Picture supply: Shutterstock
