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Reading: Gasoline costs anticipated to fall to $3 per gallon by 2026, EIA forecasts
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Business

Gasoline costs anticipated to fall to $3 per gallon by 2026, EIA forecasts

Editor
Last updated: January 2, 2026 8:10 am
Editor
Published: January 2, 2026
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Gasoline costs anticipated to fall to  per gallon by 2026, EIA forecasts


U.S. Power Secretary Chris Wright discusses falling nationwide common fuel costs underneath President Donald Trump, emphasizes the necessity for dependable power within the face of latest calls for like AI and extra on ‘Kudlow.’

Oil and gasoline costs are anticipated to say no subsequent yr, in line with a current forecast from the Power Info Administration (EIA).

The EIA printed its Brief-Time period Power Outlook in November, which projected that the value of Brent crude oil will decline from $69 a barrel in 2025 to $55 a barrel subsequent yr. That may be properly under the $81 per barrel that prevailed in 2024.

Gasoline costs are additionally projected to proceed their decline into subsequent yr. Retail fuel costs averaged $3.30 a gallon in 2024 and are at $3.10 a gallon this yr, however are projected to say no additional to $3 a gallon in 2026, in line with the EIA’s report.

U.S. manufacturing of crude oil picked up this yr and is anticipated to stay on the stage in 2026, with the EIA discovering the U.S. produced 13.2 million barrels per day in 2024. The company projected crude oil manufacturing will probably be 13.6 million barrels per day in 2025 – the identical as in 2026.

GAS PRICES DROP BELOW $3 NATIONWIDE AS TRUMP SAYS $2 GAS WITHIN REACH

Gasoline and crude oil costs are projected to say no subsequent yr, in line with the EIA’s outlook. (Zeng Hui/Xinhua by way of Getty Photographs)

Pure fuel costs are anticipated to proceed to rise after a notable improve this yr. The pure fuel value at Henry Hub was $2.20 per million British thermal items (BTUs) in 2024 and rose to $3.50 in 2025, whereas the EIA forecasts its rise will proceed to $4 in 2026.

In recent times, the U.S. has grow to be the world’s largest exporter of liquefied pure fuel (LNG), holding the highest place in 2023 and 2024, and export ranges have continued to rise.

EIA famous that the U.S. exported 12 billion cubic ft per day of LNG final yr, with that determine rising to fifteen billion cubic ft per day in 2025 and 16 billion cubic ft per day in 2026.

OIL AND GAS DEMAND COULD GROW UNTIL 2050, IEA SAYS

LNG tanker

The U.S. led the world in LNG exports in 2023 and 2024, with the export quantity projected to rise this yr and subsequent. (Stefan Sauer/image alliance by way of Getty Photographs)

The EIA’s report additionally broke down the share of electrical energy era by supply throughout the U.S., which confirmed pure fuel as the most important supply with a 40% share in 2025 and 2026, down barely from 42% a yr in the past. 

The share of electrical energy generated by renewables – a class which incorporates hydropower, photo voltaic, wind, geothermal and biomass – accounted for 23% in 2024 and has been on an upward development, with EIA placing its 2025 share at 24% and forecasting an increase to 26% in 2026.

ENERGY SECRETARY SAYS DOE LOAN OFFICE WILL LARGELY FINANCE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS, REFLECTING TRUMP PRIORITIES

AI data center PA

Microsoft is reopening the shuttered Three Mile Island nuclear energy plant to assist meet rising power demand as a result of AI information facilities. (Heather Khalifa/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photographs)

Nuclear energy’s share of the ability combine decreased barely from 19% to 18% from 2024 to 2025, whereas it is anticipated to carry regular at 18% within the new yr.

Coal’s share of whole electrical energy era has additionally been comparatively flat, with EIA reporting it was at 16% final yr, 17% in 2025, and projecting a return to 16% in 2026.

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The report additionally touched on emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), which rose barely from 4.8 billion metric tons in 2024 to 4.9 billion metric tons this yr. EIA forecasts it’ll return to 4.8 billion metric tons in 2026.

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Reading: Gasoline costs anticipated to fall to $3 per gallon by 2026, EIA forecasts
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