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Reading: AUD/USD strengthens on RBA fee hike outlook, upbeat China knowledge
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Forex

AUD/USD strengthens on RBA fee hike outlook, upbeat China knowledge

Editor
Last updated: March 16, 2026 3:33 pm
Editor
Published: March 16, 2026
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AUD/USD strengthens on RBA fee hike outlook, upbeat China knowledge


AUD/USD rises on Monday, buying and selling round 0.7060 on the time of writing, up 1.16% on the day. The pair rebounds strongly after two days of losses, supported by renewed optimism across the Australian Greenback (AUD) and expectations of additional financial tightening in Australia.

Traders are positioning forward of the Reserve Financial institution of Australia (RBA) financial coverage resolution due on Tuesday. Markets broadly anticipate the central financial institution to ship one other 25-basis-point rate of interest hike, which might carry the Official Money Price to 4.10%. At its earlier assembly in February, the RBA had already raised its fee to three.85% whereas retaining the door open for additional tightening so as to comprise inflationary pressures.

Based on DBS Financial institution economist Philip Wee, the Australian Greenback is at present supported by comparatively hawkish home fundamentals, though the worldwide setting stays marked by threat aversion linked to geopolitical tensions within the Center East. The financial institution notes that markets have largely priced in one other RBA fee hike, which may assist assist AUD/USD so long as US financial coverage doesn’t flip extra restrictive.

Analysts at BBH share an identical view. The financial institution sees one other fee improve because the base-case state of affairs, highlighting that Australian inflation stays elevated at round 3.8% YoY, which justifies sustaining a restrictive financial stance to comprise worth pressures.

In the meantime, the US Greenback (USD) stays barely on the defensive forward of the Federal Reserve (Fed) coverage resolution scheduled for Wednesday. Markets are largely anticipating the Fed to maintain rates of interest unchanged, at present within the 3.50%-3.75% vary, which is limiting the Buck’s restoration for now.

The Aussie can also be receiving assist from stronger-than-expected Chinese language financial knowledge. Based on the Nationwide Bureau of Statistics (NBS), China’s Retail Gross sales rose 2.8% YoY within the January-February interval, beating market expectations, whereas Industrial Manufacturing elevated by 6.3% over the identical interval. These indicators have a tendency to learn the Aussie, because the Australian economic system is extremely depending on Chinese language demand for its commodity exports.

Australian Greenback Worth In the present day

The desk under reveals the share change of Australian Greenback (AUD) towards listed main currencies in the present day. Australian Greenback was the strongest towards the US Greenback.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.65% -0.60% -0.33% -0.38% -1.13% -1.37% -0.42%
EUR 0.65% 0.14% 0.31% 0.29% -0.47% -0.60% 0.23%
GBP 0.60% -0.14% 0.25% 0.15% -0.61% -0.76% 0.13%
JPY 0.33% -0.31% -0.25% -0.01% -0.78% -0.86% -0.08%
CAD 0.38% -0.29% -0.15% 0.00% -0.75% -0.91% -0.01%
AUD 1.13% 0.47% 0.61% 0.78% 0.75% -0.15% 0.82%
NZD 1.37% 0.60% 0.76% 0.86% 0.91% 0.15% 0.90%
CHF 0.42% -0.23% -0.13% 0.08% 0.01% -0.82% -0.90%

The warmth map reveals share modifications of main currencies towards one another. The bottom forex is picked from the left column, whereas the quote forex is picked from the highest row. For instance, should you decide the Australian Greenback from the left column and transfer alongside the horizontal line to the US Greenback, the share change displayed within the field will characterize AUD (base)/USD (quote).

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Reading: AUD/USD strengthens on RBA fee hike outlook, upbeat China knowledge
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