Bitcoin rebounded in the present day, reclaiming the $70,000 stage. Nonetheless, the Bitcoin worth stays down 27.9% over the previous month. Nonetheless, concern is excessive, as CoinMarketCap’s Concern & Greed Index held at 11, indicating “Excessive Concern.” Analysts proceed to weigh in on whether or not there can be an extra Bitcoin dip as “Trump insider whale” Garrett Jin sells substantial BTC holdings.
Skilled Says Bear Market Timing Factors to $49K Bitcoin Dip
As per Colin Talks Crypto, Bitcoin has been in a bear market since Oct. 6, 2025, lasting simply over 4 months. He famous {that a} typical bear market, from high to backside, lasts about one 12 months. Based mostly on that sample, he estimated Bitcoin is roughly 35% by means of the cycle.
He added that this timing may imply the market is already “fairly far alongside” within the bear section. The analyst additionally mentioned most individuals acknowledge bear market situations too late. He positioned his estimated backside vary between $32,000 and $60,000, nonetheless, he mentioned $49,000 is his single greatest prediction.
With Bitcoin buying and selling round $70,000, his feedback present uncertainty across the present rebound. That uncertainty has additionally been proven by reactions from different analysts monitoring broader downtrend situations.
Extra Analysts Flag Weak Momentum as Downtrend Persists
Crypto knowledgeable Scient mentioned previous bear markets ended solely after Bitcoin started shifting out of its macro downtrend. He pointed to 2019 and 2022 as examples the place the shift occurred after BTC began reclaiming power. Scient burdened that the breakout didn’t happen on the actual backside.
He mentioned Bitcoin worth is in a transparent macro downtrend, with no confirmed indicators of power. Scient added that long-term patrons might scale back danger by ready for worth motion to pattern outdoors the present construction. He additionally mentioned merchants don’t must predict the precise backside in the event that they respect the macro pattern.
In the meantime, The Nice Martis mentioned Bitcoin momentum is “plummeting.” He added that any bounce might keep weak, adopted by prolonged sideways motion. He additionally mentioned Bitcoin may head decrease over time.
Trump Insider Whale Strikes 5,000 BTC as Change Flows Flip Unstable
As per Lookonchain knowledge, Garrett Jin bought 5,000 BTC value about $348.82 million. He withdrew 53.12 million USDT from Binance, seemingly tied to the BTC sale. Regardless of the sell-off, Jin nonetheless holds greater than 30,000 BTC, value about $2.09 billion.
Additionally, Whale Alert reported 1,651 BTC value about $113.9 million moved from an unknown pockets to Binance. Change circulation knowledge additionally confirmed sharp modifications. Bitcoin has had heavy inflows, together with a -$450 million netflow on Feb. 3. That transfer aligned with BTC dropping towards the $65,000 to $68,000 vary by Feb. 6.
Supply: Coinglass
Nonetheless, robust outflows above +$250 million appeared round Feb. 6 and Feb. 7, matching worth stabilization. From Feb. 8 onward, netflows grew to become smaller and extra balanced, suggesting decreased promoting strain.
