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Reading: US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% anticipated
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Forex

US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% anticipated

Editor
Last updated: February 15, 2026 12:02 am
Editor
Published: February 15, 2026
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US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% anticipated


  • Prior was +2.7%
  • m/m CPI +0.2% vs +0.3% anticipated
  • Prior m/m studying was +0.3%
  • Actual weekly earnings +0.5% vs -0.3% prior (revised to -0.5%)

Core inflation :

  • Ex meals and power +2.5% vs +2.5% y/y anticipated
  • Prior ex meals and power +2.5%
  • Core m/m +0.3% vs +0.3% exp
  • Prior core m/m +0.2%
  • Core items +1.1%
  • Core providers +2.9% y/y
  • Supercore +2.7% y/y

Unrounded numbers:

  • Core +0.281% m/m seasonally adjusted, +0.437% NSA

There was a slight dovish shift in Fed pricing following the information and we are able to see that in a softer US greenback as nicely. S&P 500 futures are actually flat, erasing the sooner decline.

Notably, October CPI information was not collected as a result of a authorities shutdown, and November information assortment started later than normal, capturing extra seasonal vacation discounting. Economists extensively cautioned that these disruptions could have artificially depressed the readings. Meat costs have been a standout concern, hovering 8.9% yearly — the sharpest improve since 2022 — with uncooked floor beef up practically 15%. Whereas the cooler-than-expected report was welcomed by markets and supported the case for continued Fed price cuts, analysts careworn that the December report would offer a clearer image of underlying inflation developments.

On a two-month foundation (September to November), the all gadgets index rose 0.2% seasonally adjusted, with core CPI additionally up 0.2% over that span, implying roughly 0.1% month-to-month readings for each October and November. Shelter prices, usually one of many stickiest inflation parts, rose simply 0.2% over the two-month interval, slowing sharply from a 3.6% annual tempo in September to three.0% in November. Meals costs elevated 2.6% yearly, down from 3.1% in September, whereas the power index jumped 4.2% year-over-year, pushed by a 6.9% surge in electrical energy prices.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Client Worth Index for All City Customers (CPI-U) rose 2.7% on an annual foundation in November 2025, a notable deceleration from the three.0% tempo recorded in September. Core CPI, which strips out risky meals and power prices, elevated 2.6% year-over-year — its lowest studying since March 2021.

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Reading: US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% anticipated
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