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Reading: EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Struggles Forward of Fed and ECB Choices
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Forex

EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Struggles Forward of Fed and ECB Choices

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Last updated: October 29, 2025 10:46 am
Editor
Published: October 29, 2025
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EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Struggles Forward of Fed and ECB Choices


Contents
  • EUR/USD Day by day Key Occasions
  • EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bears Eyeing 1.1600 Breakout
    • Assist Ranges
    • Resistance Ranges
  • The EUR/USD remained underneath stress as markets awaited the Fed fee minimize resolution. 
  • The buck’s renewed energy and weak Eurozone financial information weigh on the pair.
  • Merchants look ahead to commentary from FOMC members for additional coverage cues. 

The EUR/USD outlook reveals a bearish momentum because the pair trades close to 1.1635 forward of the US Federal Reserve assembly right this moment. Markets stay cautious as merchants count on a 25-bps minimize. This fee minimize will doubtless decrease the Fed funds fee to three.75%-4.00%, supporting the declining US economic system amid the softer US shopper confidence and labor market situations.

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The Convention Board revealed the CCI dropped to 94.6, the bottom since April. In the meantime, the employment sector additionally faces a decline amid large-scale layoffs within the non-public sector. Consequently, traders anticipate expectations of Fed easing, however the markets are on maintain forward of Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for additional course.

Within the Eurozone, the euro is underneath stress forward of the ECB assembly on Thursday. Buyers count on the ECB to maintain the rate of interest unchanged for a 3rd consecutive assembly. In the meantime, the weak German manufacturing and Eurozone GDP development weigh on the euro, capping additional upside. 

Moreover, the progressing US-China commerce scenario and the upcoming assembly between President Trump and Xi help the buck as traders concentrate on security amid the continuing uncertainty. 

EUR/USD Day by day Key Occasions

The foremost occasions within the day embrace

  • German 10-year Bond Public sale
  • US Federal Funds Price
  • US Pending House Gross sales m/m
  • US FOMC Assertion
  • US FOMC Press Convention

On Wednesday, merchants await the US FOMC fee resolution and press convention together with the German 10-year bond public sale, for insights into the investor confidence and additional yield developments. 

EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bears Eyeing 1.1600 Breakout

EUR/USD Technical Outlook
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The EUR/USD 4-hour chart displays restricted momentum because the pair trades round 1.1630. The value stays under the important thing 200-period SMA, suggesting a broad bearish bias. In the meantime, the 50- and 100-period MAs across the 1.1625 space present a flat motion. This implies a consolidation available in the market after final week’s uptrend. 

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The RSI at 45 suggests a possible impartial momentum for the pair. A drop under the 50-MA across the 1.1625 degree may revive the promoting stress and prolong the draw back in the direction of the important thing help ranges. 

Conversely, the pair may witness a possible upside if the market sentiment turns constructive after the FOMC resolution and consumers maintain above the 1.1620 zone. 

Assist Ranges

Resistance Ranges

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