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Reading: EUR/USD Outlook: Missing Conviction Above 1.16, Eyes on FOMC, ECB
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Forex

EUR/USD Outlook: Missing Conviction Above 1.16, Eyes on FOMC, ECB

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Last updated: October 27, 2025 9:30 am
Editor
Published: October 27, 2025
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EUR/USD Outlook: Missing Conviction Above 1.16, Eyes on FOMC, ECB


Contents
  • EUR/USD Each day Key Occasions
  • EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Impartial Bias Above 1.1600, Awaits a Catalyst
  • Assist Ranges
  • Resistance Ranges
  • The euro maintains a gradual place because the dollar weighed down forward of dovish Fed lower bets. 
  • The softer-than-expected US inflation information reignites hopes for a Fed charge lower this week. 
  • Markets face a delay in key financial releases amid the continued US authorities shutdown. 

The EUR/USD outlook holds regular at across the 1.600 stage, forward of key central financial institution choices, macroeconomic releases, and a progressing world commerce scenario. 

The US-China commerce talks progressed as President Trump and Xi mentioned a preliminary framework, and they’re excited to signal a deal in South Korea later this week. This transfer heightened the chance sentiment and pushed Asian equities to report highs, weighing on the dollar. 

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From the US, the softer-than-expected September US inflation information launched on Friday revealed a 3% YoY, paving the best way for the likelihood of a 25 foundation level lower this week, lifting the euro and weighing on the greenback. 

Within the Eurozone, the traders train warning as they look ahead to the choices of the European Central Financial institution assembly on Thursday. The markets count on regular rates of interest and gentle coverage adjustments within the assembly. The euro’s upside stays restricted amid weak inflation and sluggish development.

EUR/USD Each day Key Occasions

On Monday, the continued US authorities shutdown delayed the important thing financial information launch. 

EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Impartial Bias Above 1.1600, Awaits a Catalyst

EUR/USD Technical Outlook
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reveals the pair buying and selling above the 1.1600 stage, signaling a subdued momentum. The worth stays above the important thing 20-MA close to 1.1610 however under the confluence of 50- and 100-MA round 1.1650. In the meantime, it stays properly under the 200-MA close to 1.1700, a big resistance zone capping the upside.

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The RSI is at 53, reflecting the pair’s range-bound motion. A decisive breach above the 1.1695 stage may lengthen positive factors towards 1.1750 and 1.1800. Conversely, a drop under the 1.1610 stage may set off a draw back in direction of 1.1570 and 1.530.

Assist Ranges

Resistance Ranges

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Reading: EUR/USD Outlook: Missing Conviction Above 1.16, Eyes on FOMC, ECB
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