Citi Says ‘Purchase’ Struggling Technique, Sees 61% Upside In 12 Months

Citi has assigned a ”Purchase” score to Michael Saylor’s struggling Bitcoin treasury agency Technique, forecasting 61% upside over the following 12 months primarily based on Bitcoin hitting the financial institution’s $181,000 value goal.

Technique is a ‘’leveraged proxy’’ for Bitcoin’s efficiency, the Wall Avenue funding financial institution mentioned in an Oct. 21 analysis notice. It set a $485 value goal for Technique shares, assuming Bitcoin hits its 12-month value forecast and the corporate maintains its typical premium to web asset worth.

However its analysts warned that whereas the inventory provides outsized upside in bull markets, it additionally magnifies draw back losses. A 25% pullback in BTC, they warned, might swing Technique’s NAV from a 35% premium to a reduction and reduce the inventory’s worth by as a lot as 61%.

“The inventory presents vital dangers attributable to its positioning as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin,” Citi analysts mentioned. ”Its worth is almost 100% tied to the sometimes-volatile cryptocurrency, that means that even a average decline in Bitcoin’s value can result in magnified losses for MSTR shareholders.”  

$MSTR is Amplified $BTC. pic.twitter.com/UKLlKpL583

— Technique (@Technique) October 21, 2025

Crypto Treasury Companies Face Turbulent Instances

Citi’s purchase advice comes at a tricky time for Technique, which has seen its share value hunch 10% prior to now month, magnifying Bitcoin’s 4% loss over the identical interval.

MSTR rose greater than 1% yesterday however is down greater than 2% in pre-market buying and selling. 

Different crypto treasury companies are additionally below stress, squeezing their capacity to lift funds for extra purchases. 

Japan-based Metaplanet has seen its inventory value fall over 27% prior to now month, prompting CEO Simon Gerovich to announce that the agency has paused its share issuance as a part of an effort to optimize the corporate’s fundraising technique

BitMine Immersion Applied sciences, the most important Ethereum treasury agency, has plunge 5% prior to now month, whereas fellow ETH-focussed agency SharpLink Gaming has slumped greater than 13%. 

Technique Retains On Shopping for

Technique began accumulating Bitcoin again in 2020 and has change into the most important company Bitcoin holder globally. In line with information from Bitcoin Treasuries, Technique holds 640,418 BTC on its steadiness sheet. 

High 10 company BTC holders (Supply: Bitcoin Treasuries)

That’s over 12 instances greater than the second-biggest Bitcoin treasury agency, MARA Holdings, with its reserves of 53,250 BTC.

And it exhibits no indicators of stopping its BTC accumulation after asserting one other buy of 168 BTC for $18.8 million on Monday.

Technique has acquired 168 BTC for ~$18.8 million at ~$112,051 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 26.0% YTD 2025. As of 10/19/2025, we hodl 640,418 $BTC acquired for ~$47.40 billion at ~$74,010 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD https://t.co/UILBHXkA6a

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) October 20, 2025

The common buy value was about $112,051 per BTC, Saylor mentioned. It price the corporate round $47.4 billion to amass all of its holdings, with the general imply value for the acquisition at $74,010 BTC, Saylor added. 

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