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Behind the stalled fuel pipeline set to dominate Putin-Xi summit

Editor
Last updated: May 20, 2026 8:43 am
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Published: May 20, 2026
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Behind the stalled fuel pipeline set to dominate Putin-Xi summit


Contents
  • Joint power tasks
  • Key issues

A Energy of Siberia pure fuel pipelines facility in Heihe, Heilongjiang province, China, on Tuesday, March 21, 2023.

Bloomberg | Getty Pictures

Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Chinese language chief Xi Jinping in Beijing on Wednesday, with the long-stalled Energy of Siberia 2 pure fuel pipeline on the agenda, because the Iran struggle disrupts power provides.

Kremlin international coverage aide Yuri Ushakov mentioned Tuesday that the challenge “can be mentioned in nice element between the leaders.”

The deliberate 2,600-kilometer pipeline would carry 50 billion cubic meters of fuel yearly from Russia’s Yamal fields to China through Mongolia. Moscow and Beijing signed a legally binding memorandum to advance development in September 2025, however pricing, financing phrases, and a supply timeline stay unresolved.

China reportedly wished pricing phrases for the brand new pipeline to match Russia’s home charge of round $120-130 per 1,000 cubic meters, whereas Moscow is in search of phrases nearer to Energy of Siberia 1, which analysts estimate would greater than double that determine.

China has been a significant purchaser of Moscow’s power, with its imports of Russian oil leaping 35% 12 months over 12 months within the first quarter, based on official customs knowledge.

The proposed further pipeline would complement the prevailing Energy of Siberia 1 system, which delivers about 38 billion cubic meters of fuel to China yearly, and each nations agreed to develop its annual capability additional.

Joint power tasks

At a joint press convention on Wednesday, the Russian president mentioned his nation was able to proceed supplying China with power and that there’s “massive potential in joint renewable power tasks,” in feedback translated by Reuters.

“Russia and China are actively cooperating within the power sector. Our nation is likely one of the largest exporters of oil, pure fuel, together with liquefied fuel, and coal to China. We’re, after all, able to proceed to reliably guarantee uninterrupted provides of all these fuels to the quickly rising Chinese language market,” Putin mentioned in feedback reported by Russian state information company TASS.

The leaders earlier signed a joint assertion on strengthening their “complete partnership” and advocated “for a multipolar world and a brand new kind of worldwide relations,” information company Xinhua reported.

Putin mentioned talks with Xi had been “pleasant, heat, and constructive” with relations between the 2 states at an “unprecedented degree.”

Putin made no point out of the Energy of Siberia 2 pipeline, however the Kremlin’s Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov later mentioned Russia and China had “reached an understanding on the challenge’s most important parameters”.

However “some nuances stay to be ironed out,” with no clear timeframe on the challenge, he added, in feedback reported by information company RIA Novosti.

Key issues

The U.S.-Iran struggle that began late February has successfully led to a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting half of China’s oil imports and almost a 3rd of its LNG provide.

Energy of Siberia 1 system delivered roughly 38 billion cubic meters of fuel to China in 2025 and each nations agreed to develop its annual capability additional.

CNBC

Whereas that power shock creates contemporary incentives for Beijing to contemplate an extra overland pipeline that bypasses maritime chokepoints completely, analysts stay skeptical that it could alter Beijing’s negotiating calculus.

China holds round 1.23 billion barrels in onshore crude stock — adequate for roughly 92 days of refining wants, based on Kpler senior oil analyst Muyu Xu. Its home fuel output additionally rose 2.7% within the first 4 months of the 12 months, with central Asian pipelines, apart from the Russian system, offering further provide.

On this pool {photograph} distributed by the Russian state company Sputnik, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin (L) and China’s President Xi Jinping stroll collectively throughout a welcome ceremony on the Nice Corridor of the Folks in Beijing on Might 20, 2026.

Alexander Kazakov | Afp | Getty Pictures

Russia’s fuel exports to Europe have collapsed since its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, with state-owned power large Gazprom seeing shipments reportedly plunge 44% final 12 months to their lowest degree in many years.

Energy of Siberia 2, given its scale, may depart Moscow dangerously uncovered to a single buyer, whereas Beijing can be buying and selling Hormuz maritime vulnerability for dependence on Russian-controlled power, mentioned Michael Feller, chief strategist at Geopolitical Technique.

“A deal would sign not simply belief, however a choice that co-dependency is safer than the choice,” Feller added. “For the remainder of the world, it could make the Sino-Russian relationship more durable to unpick.”

— CNBC’s Holly Ellyatt contributed reporting to this story.

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